Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 18.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.