Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.
