Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.