Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.