Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 49.27% ( | 24.37% ( | 26.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.99% ( | 47.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.74% ( | 69.26% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( | 19.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.22% ( | 50.78% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.13% ( | 31.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.69% ( | 68.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 4-2 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.26% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.97% 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 26.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 28 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 67 | 27 | 40 | 67 |
| 2 | Ajax | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 76 | 28 | 48 | 59 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 75 | 33 | 42 | 59 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 54 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 51 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 28 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 32 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 30 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 27 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 27 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 27 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | Groningen | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 55 | -34 | 16 |
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