Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 47.95% ( | 24.5% ( | 27.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( | 46.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( | 68.96% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% | 19.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.55% ( | 51.45% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( | 30.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.95% ( | 67.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.02% Total : 47.95% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.09% 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.97% Total : 27.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
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