| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 17 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 40.89% ( | 27.99% ( | 31.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.15% ( | 58.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.65% ( | 79.36% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% ( | 28.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.03% ( | 63.97% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.52% ( | 34.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.8% ( | 71.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% ( 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 4-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.41% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 2-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 31.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 46 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 44 |
| 3 | Ajax | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 43 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 42 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 13 | 22 | 40 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 37 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 33 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 26 |
| 10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | Vitesse | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 23 |
| 13 | Go Ahead Eagles | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 22 |
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 20 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 17 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 16 |
| 17 | Cambuur | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 13 |
| 18 | Groningen | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 13 |
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