

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 50.08% ( | 24.6% ( | 25.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.2% ( | 48.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% ( | 70.89% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.49% ( | 19.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.61% ( | 51.38% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( | 33.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.68% ( | 70.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 50.07% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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