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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 89.48%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 3.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.14%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (1.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Heerenveen |
89.48% (![]() | 7.13% (![]() | 3.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.55% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
81.82% (![]() | 18.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
64.51% (![]() | 35.5% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.59% (![]() | 2.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
88.57% (![]() | 11.43% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.78% (![]() | 49.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.89% (![]() | 84.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Heerenveen |
3-0 @ 10.27% (![]() 4-0 @ 9.57% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.28% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 5.86% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 8-0 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 4.21% Total : 89.47% | 1-1 @ 3.14% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.72% Total : 7.13% | 1-2 @ 1.11% (![]() Other @ 2.28% Total : 3.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 58 |
2 | Ajax | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 55 |
3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 |
4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 52 |
5 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 43 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 38 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 31 |
10 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 31 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 26 |
13 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 23 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 21 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 |
17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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