Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 44.24% | 26.37% | 29.4% |
| Both teams to score 50.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.58% | 53.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.05% | 74.96% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% | 24.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.71% | 58.29% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.09% | 32.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.51% | 69.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.23% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Ajax | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 98 | 19 | 79 | 83 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 86 | 42 | 44 | 81 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 71 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 68 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 61 |
| 6 | Vitesse | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 51 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 41 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 39 |
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 |
| 11 | NEC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 38 |
| 12 | Groningen | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 36 |
| 13 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
| 15 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 35 |
| 16 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 34 |
| 17 | Willem II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 33 |
| R | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 27 |
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