Eredivisie | Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Polman Stadion
Heracles
2 - 0
PEC Zwolle
de la Torre (19'), Bakis (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
We said: Heracles 1-0 PEC Zwolle
Both teams have struggled for goals all-season long, so we expect a low-scoring affair in this one with clear-cut chances at a premium. That said, we are also backing Heracles to narrowly edge out Zwolle by the odd goal and come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 55.96% | 22.34% | 21.7% |
| Both teams to score 56.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
