

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heracles |
| 38.68% | 27.41% | 33.91% |
| Both teams to score 49.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.84% | 56.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.78% | 77.22% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% | 28.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.07% | 63.92% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.84% | 31.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.5% | 67.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heracles |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.68% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.98% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Twente | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 17 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 16 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Heracles | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Ajax | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
| 16 | Vitesse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
