

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
| 50.46% | 25.23% | 24.31% |
| Both teams to score 50.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.82% | 52.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.11% | 73.89% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% | 20.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.71% | 53.29% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.62% | 36.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.83% | 73.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 9.34% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-0 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.56% Total : 50.45% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.61% 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.84% Total : 24.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 93 | 35 | 58 | 70 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 65 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
| 9 | Groningen | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 36 |
| 11 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 35 |
| 12 | Heracles | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 35 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 34 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 25 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 19 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
