Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
