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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 71.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 11.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
71.57% (![]() | 17.28% (![]() | 11.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.43% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.17% (![]() | 39.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.81% (![]() | 62.19% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.15% (![]() | 9.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.34% (![]() | 32.66% (![]() |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.82% | 45.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.93% (![]() | 81.07% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
2-0 @ 11.94% 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 9.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.34% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.62% Total : 71.56% | 1-1 @ 8.19% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.87% Total : 17.28% | 0-1 @ 3.53% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.96% Total : 11.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 78 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 77 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 37 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Barnsley | 35 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 69 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 37 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 64 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 37 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 47 | 16 | 60 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Portsmouth | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 57 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 55 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 48 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 46 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 46 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
15 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 36 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 45 |
16 | Port Vale | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 44 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 43 |
18 | Burton Albion | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 41 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 37 |
20 | MK Dons | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 36 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 35 |
22 | Morecambe | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 34 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 37 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 28 | 71 | -43 | 23 |
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