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Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK at Pride Park Stadium
Derby
2 - 0
Charlton
McGoldrick (9' pen.), Cashin (69')
Barkhuizen (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Clare (4'), Hector (9'), Dobson (68')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Charlton
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Derby County 3-1 Charlton Athletic

Derby have outscored all but two teams for home goals in League One, and they are backed to return to winning ways at Pride Park this weekend. Despite Charlton's run of wins on the road, that three-game streak is likely to end against a side that have not tasted defeat at their ground since late October. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 71.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 11.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Derby CountyDrawCharlton Athletic
71.57% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01) 17.28% (0.0040000000000013 0) 11.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.43% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.17% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)39.83% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.81% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)62.19% (0.012 0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.15% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)9.84% (0.004900000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.34% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32.66% (0.012 0.01)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.82%45.17% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)81.07%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 71.56%
    Charlton Athletic 11.15%
    Draw 17.28%
Derby CountyDrawCharlton Athletic
2-0 @ 11.94%
1-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 9.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 4.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 71.56%
1-1 @ 8.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 17.28%
0-1 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 11.15%

How you voted: Derby vs Charlton

Derby County
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Charlton Athletic
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Charlton
1-0
Derby
Taylor (62')
Sessegnon (73'), Morgan (76')
Dec 30, 2019 7.45pm
Derby
2-1
Charlton
Knight (10', 77')
Holmes (87')
Bielik (17')
Taylor (83' pen.)
Sarr (39'), Gallagher (69'), Solly (80'), Pratley (81'), Dempsey (90')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Charlton
3-0
Derby
Bonne (6'), Sarr (48'), Gallagher (67')
Forster-Caskey (65')

Waghorn (57'), Shinnie (64')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
Charlton
0-1
Derby

Fox (91')
Russell (60')
Butterfield (66'), Keogh (81'), Christie (91')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
9pm
Medvedev
Tiafoe
10.30pm
Alcaraz
Sinner
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds35239362233978
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth37238665412477
3Ipswich TownIpswich372112472314175
4Barnsley35216856292769
5Derby CountyDerby371810959372264
6Bolton WanderersBolton3818101052312164
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough371931563471660
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe371861350351560
9Portsmouth371512105142957
10Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury37167144741655
11Charlton AthleticCharlton371212135249348
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood371113133938146
13Exeter CityExeter361210144848046
14Bristol Rovers37129165060-1045
15Lincoln CityLincoln3691893338-545
16Port Vale37128173853-1544
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham37127183247-1543
18Burton Albion36118174770-2341
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd37910183949-1037
20MK Dons37106213354-2136
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36811173056-2635
22Morecambe38713183762-2534
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3786232859-3130
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3758242871-4323

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