Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
61.5% (![]() | 21.31% | 17.19% |
Both teams to score 52.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.27% | 44.73% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.91% | 67.1% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.98% (![]() | 14.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.42% (![]() | 41.58% |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.54% (![]() | 39.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.85% | 76.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.5% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.8% Total : 61.49% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 4.62% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.15% 1-2 @ 4.7% 0-2 @ 2.39% 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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