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League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Cambridge
1 - 2
Charlton

Jones (72')
Bennett (27'), Seddon (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Leaburn (14'), Rak-Sakyi (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-4 Charlton
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 0-1 Charlton Athletic

Neither side has been particularly impressive in recent weeks, but we expect Charlton to do just enough to secure the three points, plunging Cambridge into real danger of being relegated. The Addicks managed to record a narrow 1-0 away victory against struggling Forest Green Rovers last month, and it would not be a surprise to see a similar scoreline on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
31.08% (0.975 0.98) 26.46% (-0.241 -0.24) 42.46% (-0.736 -0.74)
Both teams to score 51.5% (1.167 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.88% (1.296 1.3)53.12% (-1.299 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (1.09 1.09)74.69% (-1.093 -1.09)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (1.366 1.37)31.54% (-1.368 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (1.547 1.55)67.93% (-1.549 -1.55)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (0.205 0.2)24.77% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.66% (0.287 0.29)59.34% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 31.08%
    Charlton Athletic 42.46%
    Draw 26.46%
Cambridge UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.216 0.22)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.79% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 2% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.08%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.408 -0.41)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 10.9% (-0.5 -0.5)
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.61% (-0.301 -0.3)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.54% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.097 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.46%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Cambridge
0-2
Charlton
Taylor (73'), Washington (80')
Dobson (35'), Washington (61')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Charlton
2-0
Cambridge
Washington (30', 89')
Famewo (39'), Stockley (45+3'), Clare (50'), Washington (56'), Pearce (76')

Dunk (14'), May (29'), Ironside (45+2'), Digby (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham40298373294495
2Wrexham422410859322782
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe422312767373081
4Stockport CountyStockport422211963372677
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4222101058382076
6Reading421912115951869
7Leyton Orient422061661431866
8Bolton WanderersBolton42206166362166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield421971654441064
10Blackpool4115151163531060
11Barnsley42169176064-457
12Lincoln CityLincoln421413155749855
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham42159184853-554
14Stevenage411410173844-652
15Exeter CityExeter421410184558-1352
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough41139196272-1048
17Wigan AthleticWigan411114163539-447
18Mansfield TownMansfield41138204959-1047
19Northampton TownNorthampton421114174259-1747
20Burton Albion411012194459-1542
21Bristol Rovers42126244268-2642
22Crawley TownCrawley4299244981-3236
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge42811234066-2635
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4279263771-3430


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