Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 63.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.39%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Rennes |
| 15.57% ( | 20.87% ( | 63.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.27% ( | 45.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.95% ( | 68.05% ( |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.89% ( | 42.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.47% ( | 78.53% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.28% ( | 13.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.03% ( | 40.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Le Havre | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 5% ( 2-1 @ 4.29% ( 2-0 @ 2.16% ( 3-1 @ 1.24% ( 3-2 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.57% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 2-2 @ 4.26% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.87% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( 0-2 @ 11.39% ( 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0-3 @ 7.55% ( 1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0-4 @ 3.75% ( 1-4 @ 3.24% ( 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0-5 @ 1.49% ( 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 1-5 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 63.55% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
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