Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 23, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
1 - 4
Toulouse

Soumare (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Aboukhlal (9'), Sierro (56' pen.), Donnum (63'), Magri (78')
Sierro (73'), Kamanzi (90+5'), Kamanzi (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 1-3 Nice
Sunday, February 16 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 0-1 PSG
Saturday, February 15 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.25%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Toulouse
16.12% ( 0.58)	23% ( 0.56)	60.87% ( -1.14)

Both teams to score 44.76% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.64% (

-1.16)

53.35% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.1% (

-0.99)

74.89% (

0.98)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.03% (

0.09)

45.97% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.3% (

0.08)

81.69% (

-0.08)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.84% (

-0.8)

17.15% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.6% (

-1.43)

47.39% (

1.43)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 16.12%

Toulouse 60.87%

Draw 23%

Le Havre	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.36% Total : 16.12%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 23%	0-1 @ 13.9% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 12.25% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 7.2% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.5% Total : 60.87%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Toulouse

Le Havre

29.4%

Draw

29.4%

Toulouse

41.2%

Head to Head

Sep 15, 2024 4pm

Gameweek 4

Toulouse

2-0

Le Havre

Babicka (70'), Gboho (86')
J (53')

Sangante (57')

> Preview

Mar 10, 2024 2pm

Gameweek 25

Le Havre

1-0

Toulouse

Operi (60')
Operi (84'), Ngoura (90+5')

Keben (90+5')

> Preview

Nov 5, 2023 2pm

Gameweek 11

Toulouse

1-2

Le Havre

Dallinga (49')
Costa (30'), Schmidt (45+4')

Bayo (83', 90+6')
Casimir (45+2'), N'Diaye (85')

> Preview

Feb 21, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 25

Toulouse

4-0

Le Havre

Nicolaisen (23'), Onaiwu (27'), Van den Boomen (48' pen.), N'Goumou (80')
Spierings (19'), Healey (71')

Lekhal (22'), Bonnet (47')

Sep 13, 2021 7.45pm

Gameweek 7

Le Havre

1-1

Toulouse

Cornette (67')
Lekhal (90+5')
Boutaib (62')

Onaiwu (34')
Rouault (13'), Onaiwu (51'), Nicolaisen (55'), Desler (60')

Form Guide

Toulouse 0-2 Guingamp

Toulouse 1-1 Nice

Toulouse 1-2 Montpellier

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Paris Saint-Germain PSG	34	26	6	2	92	35	57	84
2	Marseille	34	20	5	9	74	47	27	65
3	Monaco Monaco	34	18	7	9	63	41	22	61
4	Nice	34	17	9	8	66	41	25	60
5	Lille	34	17	9	8	52	36	16	60
6	Lyon	34	17	6	11	65	46	19	57
7	Strasbourg Strasbourg	34	16	9	9	56	44	12	57
8	Lens	34	15	7	12	42	39	3	52
9	Brest	34	15	5	14	52	59	-7	50
10	Toulouse	34	11	9	14	44	43	1	42
11	Auxerre	34	11	9	14	48	51	-3	42
12	Rennes	34	13	2	19	51	50	1	41
13	Nantes Nantes	34	8	12	14	39	52	-13	36
14	Angers	34	10	6	18	32	53	-21	36
15	Le Havre Le Havre	34	10	4	20	40	71	-31	34
16	Reims	34	8	9	17	33	47	-14	33
R	Saint-Etienne St Etienne	34	8	6	20	39	77	-38	30
R	Montpellier HSC Montpellier	34	4	4	26	23	79	-56	16
					> Ligue 1 Full Table