Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
We said: Toulouse 3-0 Montpellier HSC
Despite having a good season, scoring goals has been an issue for the hosts so far this campaign. However, they are coming up against the worst defence in Ligue 1, so they should be able to score a few here in a comfortable home win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
54.66% ( -0.8) | 24.4% ( 0.34) | 20.94% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
