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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Toulouse
Montpellier
1 - 2
Toulouse
Wahi (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dallinga (31'), Chaibi (85')
Genreau (58'), van den Boomen (70')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Montpellier
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Annecy 1-2 Toulouse
Thursday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

We said: Montpellier HSC 2-0 Toulouse

 In an often high-scoring fixture, there have been 18 goals scored in the last five meetings between the sides, including a 4-2 win for Toulouse in the reverse earlier this season. However, Montpellier's resurgence has been phenomenal, and they may well continue their hot streak with another win over a side who could be focusing more on the cup final to come in a few weeks' time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
33.04% (0.54 0.54) 24.06% (-0.044 -0.04) 42.9% (-0.496 -0.5)
Both teams to score 60.37% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (0.392 0.39)41.93% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.66% (0.394 0.39)64.34% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24% (0.509 0.51)24.76% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (0.706 0.71)59.32% (-0.707 -0.71)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)19.76% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)51.81% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 33.04%
    Toulouse 42.9%
    Draw 24.05%
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.078 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.83% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.77% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.04%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.155 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.39% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 42.9%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Toulouse

Montpellier HSC
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Toulouse
11.1%
45
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Toulouse
4-2
Montpellier
Spierings (18'), Aboukhlal (24'), Chaibi (31'), Dejaegere (48')
Desler (15')
Cozza (7'), Wahi (68')
May 23, 2020 7pm
Toulouse
P-P
Montpellier
Nov 10, 2019 4pm
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Laborde (43'), Le Tallec (59'), Savanier (75')
Chotard (34'), Sambia (87')

Sangare (39'), Vainqueur (41')
Apr 14, 2019 2pm
Montpellier
2-1
Toulouse
Skhiri (54'), Camara (77')
Mendes (51'), Mollet (63')
Sidibe (67')
Jullien (86')
Oct 27, 2018 7pm
Toulouse
0-3
Montpellier

Durmaz (22'), Jean (90')
Laborde (21'), Delort (24'), Reynet (90' og.)
Delort (1')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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