Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Dec 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lille

Montpellier
2 - 2
Lille

Sylla (45+2'), Nordin (90+3')
Maksimovic (9'), Gasset (10'), Tchato (35'), Savanier (52'), Sagnan (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
David (44' pen., 54' pen.)
Mukau (26'), Alexsandro (47'), Cabella (52'), Fernandez Pardo (89'), Arnar Haraldsson (90+13')
Bakker (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Etienne 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, November 23 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bologna 1-2 Lille
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLille
21.58% (-0.29 -0.29)23.73% (0.62 0.62)54.69% (-0.34 -0.34)
Both teams to score 51.78% (-2.386 -2.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (-2.972 -2.97)48.81% (2.962 2.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (-2.759 -2.76)70.91% (2.75 2.75)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.94% (-1.954 -1.95)37.06% (1.945 1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-1.989 -1.99)73.84% (1.98 1.98)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-1.205 -1.21)17.73% (1.196 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.6% (-2.118 -2.12)48.39% (2.109 2.11)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 21.58%
    Lille 54.68%
    Draw 23.72%
Montpellier HSCDrawLille
1-0 @ 6.52% (0.446 0.45)
2-1 @ 5.6% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.24% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.07% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 21.58%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.765 0.77)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.306 -0.31)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 11.36% (0.92 0.92)
0-2 @ 9.83% (0.429 0.43)
1-2 @ 9.76% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 5.67% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.63% (-0.276 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.296 -0.3)
0-4 @ 2.45% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.223 -0.22)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 54.68%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lille

Montpellier HSC
13.7%
Draw
15.7%
Lille
70.6%
51
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 19
Montpellier
0-0
Lille
Jullien (26'), Savanier (61'), Khazri (62'), Coulibaly (63')
Fonseca (31'), Bouaddi (37'), Santos (66')
Bouaddi (45+2')
Sep 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 4
Lille
1-0
Montpellier
Yazici (2')
Gomes (50'), Alexsandro (73')

Der Zakarian (56'), Omeragic (90+7')
Apr 16, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 31
Lille
2-1
Montpellier
David (70'), Cabella (72')
Sylla (24')
Sep 4, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 6
Montpellier
1-3
Lille
Wahi (20')
David (41', 90+4'), Gomes (57')
Feb 12, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 24
Montpellier
0-1
Lille

Ferri (46'), Savanier (83'), Germain (87')
Xeka (77')
Gomes (22'), Celik (45'), Xeka (64')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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