Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 24, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille1 - 0Rennes
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nagida (23'), Skiri Oestigaard (90+4')
We said: Lille 2-1 Rennes
Despite a number of players sitting in the medical room, we are still expecting a solid performance from Champions League-competing Lille this weekend. Rennes have endured a poor run of form against mid-table dwellers in recent weeks, so we do not fancy their chances at the home of Les Dogues in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Rennes |
47.31% ( 0.54) | 24.1% ( -0.06) | 28.59% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 57.81% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
