Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Rennes |
| 47.31% ( | 24.1% ( | 28.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.75% ( | 44.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.38% ( | 66.62% ( |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( | 18.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.71% ( | 50.28% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( | 28.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.39% ( | 64.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 4-2 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.59% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
