Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 28, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
0 - 3
Lille

Kechta (44'), Desmas (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-2)

David (23', 35', 79')
Andre (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Le Havre
Sunday, September 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 3-3 Strasbourg
Saturday, September 21 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Lille
27.94% ( -0.28)	26.24% ( -0.13)	45.81% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.34% (

0.35)

53.65% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.85% (

0.29)

75.15% (

-0.3)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.85% (

-0.03)

34.14% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.16% (

-0.03)

70.83% (

0.02)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

0.34)

23.37% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.66% (

0.5)

57.34% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 27.94%

Lille 45.81%

Draw 26.24%

Le Havre	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.94%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.81%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Lille

Le Havre

25.0%

Draw

25.0%

Lille

50.0%

Head to Head

Feb 17, 2024 4pm

Gameweek 22

Lille

3-0

Le Havre

David (14', 44', 49')
Bentaleb (36'), Arnar Haraldsson (68')

Lloris (18'), Toure (65'), Operi (83')

> Preview

Oct 1, 2023 2pm

Gameweek 7

Le Havre

0-2

Lille

Zhegrova (40'), Salmier (52' og.)

> Preview

Form Guide

Monaco 3-1 Le Havre

Toulouse 2-0 Le Havre

Le Havre 3-1 Auxerre

St Etienne 0-2 Le Havre

Le Havre 1-4 PSG

Le Havre 0-6 VfL Bochum

Lille 3-3 Strasbourg

Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Lille

St Etienne 1-0 Lille

Lille 1-3 PSG

Slavia Prague 2-1 Lille

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

Palestine

North Korea

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Paris Saint-Germain PSG	34	26	6	2	92	35	57	84
2	Marseille	34	20	5	9	74	47	27	65
3	Monaco Monaco	34	18	7	9	63	41	22	61
4	Nice	34	17	9	8	66	41	25	60
5	Lille	34	17	9	8	52	36	16	60
6	Lyon	34	17	6	11	65	46	19	57
7	Strasbourg Strasbourg	34	16	9	9	56	44	12	57
8	Lens	34	15	7	12	42	39	3	52
9	Brest	34	15	5	14	52	59	-7	50
10	Toulouse	34	11	9	14	44	43	1	42
11	Auxerre	34	11	9	14	48	51	-3	42
12	Rennes	34	13	2	19	51	50	1	41
13	Nantes Nantes	34	8	12	14	39	52	-13	36
14	Angers	34	10	6	18	32	53	-21	36
15	Le Havre Le Havre	34	10	4	20	40	71	-31	34
16	Reims	34	8	9	17	33	47	-14	33
R	Saint-Etienne St Etienne	34	8	6	20	39	77	-38	30
R	Montpellier HSC Montpellier	34	4	4	26	23	79	-56	16
					> Ligue 1 Full Table