Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 0-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Le Havre win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 18.35% ( | 20.13% ( | 61.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.72% ( | 37.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.51% ( | 59.48% ( |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( | 33.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.67% ( | 70.32% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.3% ( | 11.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.2% ( | 36.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Le Havre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.01% ( 1-0 @ 4.29% ( 2-0 @ 2.33% ( 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 3-1 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 18.36% | 1-1 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.13% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0-2 @ 9.07% ( 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 1-3 @ 7.06% ( 0-3 @ 6.49% ( 2-3 @ 3.84% ( 1-4 @ 3.79% ( 0-4 @ 3.48% ( 2-4 @ 2.06% ( 1-5 @ 1.63% ( 0-5 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 4.28% Total : 61.51% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
