Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
PSG4 - 1Lyon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barcelona 1-4 PSG
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 1-1 Lyon
After the elation of Tuesday night, we are expecting a potentially limp performance from PSG on Sunday, when Lyon could end up earning a result from their visit to the French capital. Les Gones are enjoying a good run of form and will be confident of upsetting the odds at Parc des Princes this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
47.17% ( 0.17) | 23.06% ( 0.01) | 29.76% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 62.3% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
