Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille0 - 2PSG
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Marseille
Sunday, March 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 17 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-6 PSG
Sunday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
We said: Marseille 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
Suffering cruel blow after cruel blow when it comes to the availability of their defenders, Marseille's remarkable run at the Orange Velodrome appears destined to come to an end against the runaway leaders, even if the international break allowed Gasset and co the chance to reset and dissect. A well-stocked midfield and attack can still ask questions of PSG's own ravaged backline, but Enrique's attackers will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing their injury-hit Classique foes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
36.92% ( 0.01) | 23.83% ( -0) | 39.24% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.09% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
