

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lyon |
| 17.57% ( | 22.22% ( | 60.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.05% ( | 47.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.88% ( | 70.13% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.09% ( | 40.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.52% ( | 77.48% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.5% ( | 15.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.61% ( | 44.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 5.67% ( 2-1 @ 4.72% ( 2-0 @ 2.53% ( 3-1 @ 1.41% ( 3-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 17.57% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 2-2 @ 4.4% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 11.82% ( 0-2 @ 11.02% ( 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0-3 @ 6.85% ( 1-3 @ 6.12% ( 0-4 @ 3.19% ( 1-4 @ 2.85% ( 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 1-5 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 60.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
| 4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
| 8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
| 11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
| R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
