Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Metz |
42.8% (![]() | 25.82% (![]() | 31.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.69% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.64% (![]() | 50.37% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.7% (![]() | 72.31% (![]() |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% (![]() | 23.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% (![]() | 57.38% (![]() |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% (![]() | 29.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.97% (![]() | 66.03% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 10.17% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.91% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 12.26% (![]() 0-0 @ 7% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.45% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 31.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |