Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Nantes |
44.96% (![]() | 27.03% (![]() | 28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.41% (![]() | 56.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.43% (![]() | 77.56% (![]() |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% (![]() | 25.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.25% (![]() | 59.75% (![]() |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.34% (![]() | 35.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.57% (![]() | 72.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 12.36% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.82% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.56% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 12.75% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.94% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 2% Total : 28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |