Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Reims |
| 31.05% ( | 24.39% ( | 44.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.72% ( | 44.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( | 66.65% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% | 27.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.48% ( | 62.51% ( |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.99% ( | 20.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.8% ( | 52.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Reims |
| 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 3-2 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.05% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 1-3 @ 4.92% ( 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 2-4 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 44.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
| 4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
| 8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
| 11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
| R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
