Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Reims had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Reims |
| 38.19% ( | 26.19% ( | 35.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.96% ( | 51.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% ( | 72.89% ( |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( | 26.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.86% ( | 61.13% ( |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( | 27.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.91% ( | 63.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Reims |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.19% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 1-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 82 | 27 | 55 | 77 |
| 2 | Marseille | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | Lille | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 53 |
| 5 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 51 |
| 6 | Nice | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 51 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 51 |
| 8 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 45 |
| 9 | Brest | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 | Rennes | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Reims | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 30 |
| 15 | Angers | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 30 |
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 33 | 64 | -31 | 27 |
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 67 | -36 | 24 |
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 15 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
