

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Clermont | 
| 41.88% (  0.17) | 27.31% (  0.25) | 30.8% (  -0.43) | 
| Both teams to score 48.83% (  -0.91) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.51% (  -1.08) | 56.48% (  1.08) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.52% (  -0.88) | 77.48% (  0.88) | 
| Toulouse Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.4% (  -0.41) | 26.6% (  0.41) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.17% (  -0.54) | 61.83% (  0.54) | 
| Clermont Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.53% (  -0.87) | 33.47% (  0.87) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.89% (  -0.96) | 70.1% (  0.96) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Toulouse | Draw | Clermont | 
| 1-0 @ 11.79% (  0.35) 2-1 @ 8.54% (  -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.81% (  0.14) 3-1 @ 3.77% (  -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.45% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% (  -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.25% (  -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.14% (  -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.88% | 1-1 @ 12.9% (  0.08) 0-0 @ 8.9% (  0.36) 2-2 @ 4.68% (  -0.14) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.75% (  0.17) 1-2 @ 7.06% (  -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.33% (  -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.58% (  -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.95% (  -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.71% (  -0.09) Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.8% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 | 
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 | 
| 3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 | 
| 4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 | 
| 5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 | 
| 6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 | 
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 | 
| 8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 | 
| 9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 | 
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 | 
| 11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 | 
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 | 
| 13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 | 
| 14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 | 
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 | 
| 16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 | 
| 17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 | 
| R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 | 
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
