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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Dortmund
3 - 2
Borussia M'bach

Guirassy (41'), Nmecha (44'), Svensson (45+4')
Guirassy (56')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Itakura (24'), Stoger (56' pen.)
Scally (4'), Stoger (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 Barcelona
Tuesday, April 15 at 8pm in Champions League

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Freiburg
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 57.68%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 22.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.12%) and 3-1 (6.97%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
57.68% (0.086999999999996 0.09)20.1% (0.118 0.12)22.22% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 65.43% (-0.756 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.71% (-0.846 -0.85)31.28% (0.849 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.28% (-1.005 -1.01)52.72% (1.008 1.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.12% (-0.238 -0.24)10.87% (0.242 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65% (-0.53400000000001 -0.53)35% (0.538 0.54)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.64800000000001 -0.65)26.58% (0.652 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (-0.868 -0.87)61.81% (0.872 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 57.69%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 22.22%
    Draw 20.1%
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.41% (0.234 0.23)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.62% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.56% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.72% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.14% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-3 @ 1.13% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 57.69%
1-1 @ 8.5% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.133 0.13)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 20.1%
1-2 @ 5.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 3.83% (0.108 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.54% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 22.22%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Borussia M'bach

Borussia Dortmund
58.8%
Draw
19.6%
Borussia Monchengladbach
21.6%
51
Head to Head
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Stoger (71' pen.)
Weigl (30'), Cvancara (90+4')
Cvancara (90+5')
Bynoe-Gittens (65')
Schlotterbeck (47'), Gross (70')
> Preview
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Borussia M'bach
1-2
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Wober (36')
Itakura (84')
Sabitzer (22', 28')
Maatsen (14'), Adeyemi (45+4'), Nmecha (90+4')
Adeyemi (55')
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Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Dortmund
4-2
Borussia M'bach
Sabitzer (30'), Fullkrug (32'), Bynoe-Gittens (45'), Malen (90+7')
Brandt (80')
Reitz (13'), Kone (28')
Weigl (54'), Kone (87')
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May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Dortmund
5-2
Borussia M'bach
Malen (5'), Bellingham (18' pen.), Haller (20', 32'), Reyna (90+4')
Bensebaini (75' pen.), Stindl (85')
Bensebaini (77'), Kramer (90+4')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Borussia M'bach
4-2
Dortmund
Hofmann (4'), Bensebaini (26'), Thuram (30'), Kone (46')
Brandt (19'), Schlotterbeck (40')
> Preview