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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 39.87% ( | 24.77% ( | 35.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.27% ( | 44.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.91% ( | 67.08% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( | 22.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.14% ( | 55.85% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( | 24.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.7% ( | 59.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.35% |