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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 44.45% ( | 24.48% ( | 31.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.34% ( | 44.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% ( | 67.02% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.79% ( | 20.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.48% ( | 52.52% ( |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( | 27.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.26% ( | 62.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.45% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.07% |