We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 Mainz 05
Mainz have been excellent defensively this campaign, and it would be surprising if they faced many chances.
Though Borussia Monchengladbach have been in better form of late, their recent record at home is mixed, and they could face many difficulties on Friday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.