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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Mainz logo

Borussia M'bach
1 - 3
Mainz

Lainer (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nebel (39'), Kohr (48'), Amiri (77')
Sano (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-2 Mainz
Saturday, March 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawMainz 05
44.45% (0.007000000000005 0.01)24.48% (0.0019999999999989 0)31.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)44.66% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)67.02% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)20.21% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)52.52% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)27.3% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)62.74% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 44.45%
    Mainz 05 31.07%
    Draw 24.48%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-0 @ 3.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 44.45%
1-1 @ 11.45%
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.65%
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.07%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Mainz

Borussia Monchengladbach
23.7%
Draw
22.7%
Mainz 05
53.6%
97
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Mainz
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Lainer (55' og.)
Caci (74'), Widmer (89'), Amiri (90+4')
Kleindienst (57')
Scally (40'), Sander (80')
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Mainz
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Burkardt (12')
Barreiro (50'), Henriksen (57'), Kohr (58'), Mwene (81'), Amiri (90+3')
Kohr (83')
N'Goumou (55')
N'Goumou (43')
Oct 6, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Borussia M'bach
2-2
Mainz
Neuhaus (22'), Scally (88')
Itakura (56'), Kone (81'), Hack (82')
Gruda (24'), Barkok (75')
Bell (66')
Feb 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Mainz
4-0
Borussia M'bach
Jae-sung (25'), Ingvartsen (49'), Ajorque (72'), Weiper (90+3')
Sep 4, 2022 4.30pm