

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach | 
| 54.72% (  -0.18) | 22.05% (  0.19) | 23.23% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 59.57% (  -0.67) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.47% (  -0.88) | 39.54% (  0.89) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.12% (  -0.92) | 61.88% (  0.93) | 
| Mainz 05 Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.57% (  -0.35) | 14.43% (  0.36) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.64% (  -0.7) | 42.36% (  0.71) | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.61% (  -0.48) | 30.39% (  0.49) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.41% (  -0.58) | 66.59% (  0.59) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach | 
| 2-1 @ 9.79% (  0.02) 1-0 @ 8.49% (  0.24) 2-0 @ 8.22% (  0.13) 3-1 @ 6.32% (  -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.3% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 3.76% (  -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.06% (  -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.57% (  -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.82% (  -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.18% (  -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.99% (  -0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.72% | 1-1 @ 10.11% (  0.15) 2-2 @ 5.83% (  -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.39% (  0.18) 3-3 @ 1.49% (  -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 6.02% (  0.01) 0-1 @ 5.22% (  0.15) 0-2 @ 3.11% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 2.39% (  -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.31% (  -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.24% (  0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.23% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 | 
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 | 
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 | 
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 | 
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 | 
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