| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | -2 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | -7 | 45 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | -2 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 50.96% | 22.55% | 26.49% |
| Both teams to score 61.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.39% | 38.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.09% | 60.91% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.65% | 15.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.88% | 44.12% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% | 27.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.19% | 62.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% 1-0 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 5.97% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 3.87% 4-1 @ 2.8% 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.96% | 1-1 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 4.2% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-1 @ 5.44% 0-2 @ 3.53% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 1.53% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.92% Total : 26.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 43 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 43 |
| 3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 43 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 40 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 39 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 30 |
| 8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 27 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 27 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 26 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | Stuttgart | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 19 |
| 16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 |
| 17 | Hertha Berlin | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 17 |
| 18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 13 |
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