MX23RW : Wednesday, February 1 21:29:10| >> :60:105:105:
Jul 31, 2022 at 5.01pm UK at Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion
Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 3
Mainz 05

Sorge (50'), Nazarov (61'), Danhof (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kohr (41'), Burgzorg (70'), Ingvartsen (78' pen.)
Caricol (14'), Kohr (51'), Stach (55')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's DFB-Pokal clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 05 1-0 Newcastle
Monday, July 18 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Erzgebirge Aue 0-2 Mainz 05

Though they lack match sharpness this early in the season, Mainz should have more than enough firepower to take care of business on Sunday. After tumbling the relegation trapdoor in May, their beleaguered hosts may take more time to recover. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawMainz 05
39.37% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 24.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 36.47% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 60.81% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.31% (0.012999999999998 0.01)41.69% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.91% (0.013999999999996 0.01)64.09% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (0.021000000000001 0.02)21.29% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (0.033000000000001 0.03)54.22% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.74% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)56.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 39.37%
    Mainz 05 36.47%
    Draw 24.16%
Erzgebirge AueDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 39.37%
1-1 @ 11.09%
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 36.47%

How you voted: Erzgebirge Aue vs Mainz 05

Erzgebirge Aue
9.1%
Draw
0.0%
Mainz 05
90.9%
11
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2018 5.30pm
Erzgebirge Aue
1-3
Mainz 05
Testroet (83')
Rapp (34'), Tiffert (44'), Kalig (90')
Maxim (31', 65'), Quaison (59')
Maxim (28')
Niakhate (3')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal19162145162950
2Manchester CityMan City20143353203345
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20109133112239
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd2012353225739
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs2111374031936
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton1994637271031
7Fulham219483230231
8Brentford207943228430
9Liverpool198563425929
10Chelsea208572221129
11Aston Villa208482327-428
12Crystal Palace206681827-924
13Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest205691635-1921
14Leicester CityLeicester2053122835-718
15Leeds UnitedLeeds194692633-718
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2053121725-818
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2045111230-1817
18Bournemouth2045111942-2317
19Everton2036111528-1315
20Southampton2043131735-1815

Subscribe to our Newsletter


Match previews - Daily
Transfer Talk Daily
Morning Briefing (7am UTC)
Ultra close-up image of Kevin De Bruyne [NOT FOR USE IN ARTICLES]Get the latest transfer news, match previews and news direct to your inbox!