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Feb 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK at The Kassam Stadium
League One | Gameweek 21
Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Barnsley
Moore (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (30'), Cadden (58')
Kane (69'), Connell (75'), Collins (81'), Martin (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Barnsley

Putting the ball into the back of the net has not been a problem for Oxford United, but keeping the opposition at bay is not their forte, and a goal-happy Barnsley are sure to take advantage of such frailties. The Tykes' stellar defensive record on the road should also come into play, and even with a couple more injury concerns to work around, we still expect Duff's men to travel back to South Yorkshire with another three points in the bag. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBarnsley
43.71% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 25.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 30.85% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.94% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.029 -0.03)71.02% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)22.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)55.81% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)29.57% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)65.6% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 43.71%
    Barnsley 30.85%
    Draw 25.43%
Oxford UnitedDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 43.71%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.85%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Barnsley

Oxford United
24.7%
Draw
24.7%
Barnsley
50.7%
73
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-2
Barnsley
Ruffels (25'), Mackie (48')
Nelson (36'), Dickie (90')
Thiam (70'), Moore (79')
Thiam (37'), Dougall (39'), Lindsay (66'), Williams (73'), Mowatt (87')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Apr 3, 2016 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth43288776463092
2Ipswich TownIpswich432613490335791
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds442612677374090
4Barnsley432671076383885
5Bolton WanderersBolton4321121057332475
6Derby CountyDerby4421121166442275
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough442341773541973
8Portsmouth4417171058471168
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe442081657461168
10Lincoln CityLincoln431320104443159
11Charlton AthleticCharlton441513166562358
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155147457
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury43168195056-656
14Exeter CityExeter441411196160153
15Bristol Rovers421410185566-1152
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431311194055-1550
17Port Vale441310214565-2049
18Burton Albion421310195578-2349
19MK Dons441110234062-2243
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd43914204154-1341
21Morecambe44914214273-3141
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43117253766-2940
23Accrington StanleyAccrington43911233674-3838
RForest Green RoversForest Green4469293184-5327

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