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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Stuttgart

Mainz
2 - 0
Stuttgart

Weiper (29', 29'), Caci (86')
Sano (16'), Sano (16'), Weiper (36'), Weiper (36'), Zentner (41'), Zentner (41'), Jae-sung (45+2'), Jae-sung (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Karazor (57'), Karazor (57'), Stiller (68'), Chabot (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz
Sunday, January 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 1-3 Stuttgart
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
26.48% (0.048999999999999 0.05)23% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)50.53% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 59.88% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.26% (0.288 0.29)40.74% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.88% (0.291 0.29)63.12% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (0.188 0.19)28.47% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (0.236 0.24)64.24% (-0.233 -0.23)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (0.107 0.11)16.28% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.17% (0.191 0.19)45.83% (-0.189 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 26.48%
    Stuttgart 50.53%
    Draw 23%
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.82% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 26.48%
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.64% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.81% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.64% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-4 @ 1.66% (0.019 0.02)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 50.53%

How you voted: Mainz vs Stuttgart

Mainz 05
21.0%
Draw
24.2%
Stuttgart
54.8%
62
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Stuttgart
3-3
Mainz
Millot (8'), Leweling (15'), Rieder (88')
Karazor (36'), Chabot (53'), Millot (57'), Vagnomann (84')
Amiri (43' pen.), Burkardt (62'), Leitsch (90+4')
Riess (71'), Widmer (79')
Feb 11, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Stuttgart
3-1
Mainz
Mittelstadt (45+2'), Leweling (45+4'), Undav (73')
Karazor (82')
Ajorque (76')
Guilavogui (84')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Mainz
1-3
Stuttgart
Barreiro (69')
Caci (11')
Guirassy (56', 84', 90+7')
Stiller (60'), Anton (67')
May 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Mainz
1-4
Stuttgart
Ingvartsen (23')
Kohr (61'), Bell (75'), Ajorque (90+5')
Endo (41'), Guirassy (64'), Fuhrich (78'), Coulibaly (90+1')
Endo (73')
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Stuttgart
1-1
Mainz
Guirassy (36')
Ingvartsen (40' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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