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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 26.48% ( | 23% ( | 50.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.26% ( | 40.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.88% ( | 63.12% ( |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% ( | 28.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.75% ( | 64.24% ( |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( | 16.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.17% ( | 45.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 1-0 @ 5.82% ( 2-0 @ 3.66% ( 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 3-0 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 26.48% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0-2 @ 7.64% ( 1-3 @ 5.81% ( 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 2-3 @ 3.65% ( 1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0-4 @ 2.1% ( 2-4 @ 1.66% ( 1-5 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.46% Total : 50.53% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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