

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Mainz 05 | 
| 54.07% (  0.26) | 22.21% (  -0.12) | 23.72% (  -0.14) | 
| Both teams to score 59.65% (  0.25) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.3% (  0.41) | 39.7% (  -0.41) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.94% (  0.42) | 62.05% (  -0.43) | 
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.3% (  0.23) | 14.69% (  -0.23) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.13% (  0.43) | 42.87% (  -0.44) | 
| Mainz 05 Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.93% (  0.1) | 30.07% (  -0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.79% (  0.13) | 66.2% (  -0.13) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Mainz 05 | 
| 2-1 @ 9.76% (  0) 1-0 @ 8.47% (  -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.13% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.24% (  0.05) 3-0 @ 5.19% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 3.75% (  0.04) 4-1 @ 2.99% (  0.05) 4-0 @ 2.49% (  0.03) 4-2 @ 1.8% (  0.03) 5-1 @ 1.15% (  0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% (  0.02) Other @ 3.14% Total : 54.07% | 1-1 @ 10.18% (  -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.87% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 4.42% (  -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.5% (  0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 6.12% (  -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.31% (  -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.19% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.45% (  -0) 2-3 @ 2.35% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 1.28% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 23.72% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
| > Bundesliga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
