Lyon
Europa League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Lyon
3 - 2
Frankfurt

Cherki (27'), Fofana (50'), Nuamah (54')
Lacazette (61'), Tagliafico (69'), Kristensen (90'), Skhiri (90+7'), Fofana (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Knauff (18'), Marmoush (85')
Nkounkou (13'), Toppmoller (14'), Koch (57'), Toppmoller (74'), Ekitike (74'), Marmoush (80'), Marmoush (90'), Maitland-Niles (90+3'), Collins (90+7')
Toppmoller (0')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lyon and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawEintracht Frankfurt
51.77% (0.102 0.1)22.2% (0.010999999999999 0.01)26.03% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 62.28% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.62% (-0.145 -0.14)37.37% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.41% (-0.158 -0.16)59.59% (0.163 0.16)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)14.64% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.23% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)42.76% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)27.04% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.204 -0.2)62.4% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 51.77%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 26.03%
    Draw 22.2%
LyonDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.94%
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 51.77%
1-1 @ 9.95% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.96% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 26.03%

How you voted: Lyon vs Frankfurt

Lyon
43.9%
Draw
23.9%
Eintracht Frankfurt
32.3%
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