Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Dec 1, 2024 at 4pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Nice

Lyon
4 - 1
Nice

Lacazette (4', 41', 69' pen.), Veretout (43')
Tagliafico (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Diop (22')
Boudaoui (54'), Louchet (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Qarabag 1-4 Lyon
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nice 1-4 Rangers
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Nice had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawNice
49.04% (-0.669 -0.67)23.51% (0.149 0.15)27.44% (0.512 0.51)
Both teams to score 58.91% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.61% (-0.306 -0.31)42.38% (0.299 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.2% (-0.305 -0.31)64.79% (0.297 0.3)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (-0.37100000000001 -0.37)17.44% (0.365 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.1% (-0.643 -0.64)47.9% (0.636 0.64)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (0.215 0.22)28.63% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.56% (0.27 0.27)64.44% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 49.04%
    Nice 27.44%
    Draw 23.51%
LyonDrawNice
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.72% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 49.04%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.121 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 27.44%

How you voted: Lyon vs Nice

Lyon
65.0%
Draw
30.0%
Nice
5.0%
60
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 22
Lyon
1-0
Nice
Mangala (22')
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Nice
0-0
Lyon
Tagliafico (90'), Caleta-Car (90+2'), Alvero (90+5'), Alvero (90+4')
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Nice
3-1
Lyon
Boateng (5' og.), Laborde (28'), Moffi (33')
Jeffinho (41')
Lukeba (49')
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 15
Lyon
1-1
Nice
Lacazette (89' pen.)
Pepe (38' pen.)
Feb 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 24
Lyon
2-0
Nice
Dembele (8' pen.), Toko Ekambi (52')

Todibo (50')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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