Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13

Dec 1, 2024 at 4pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
4 - 1
Nice

Lacazette (4', 41', 69' pen.), Veretout (43')
Tagliafico (90+1')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Diop (22')
Boudaoui (54'), Louchet (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Qarabag 1-4 Lyon
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 1-4 Rangers
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Nice had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Nice
49.04% ( -0.67)	23.51% ( 0.15)	27.44% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 58.91% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.61% (

-0.31)

42.38% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.2% (

-0.31)

64.79% (

0.3)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.55% (

-0.37)

17.44% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.1% (

-0.64)

47.9% (

0.64)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36% (

0.22)

28.63% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.56% (

0.27)

64.44% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Lyon 49.04%

Nice 27.44%

Draw 23.51%

Lyon	Draw	Nice
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.87% Total : 49.04%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.51%	1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.51% Total : 27.44%