Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 10

Nov 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
3 - 1
Dortmund

Jae-sung (36'), Burkardt (45+3'), Nebel (54')
Nebel (32'), Kohr (45'), Zentner (86')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Guirassy (40' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (28')
Can (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, November 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Sturm Graz
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
30.37% ( 0.01)	23.08% ( -0.01)	46.54% ( -0)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table

Mainz 05	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.37%	1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 4.24% Total : 46.54%

Bundesliga

Mainz3 - 1Dortmund

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund

Data Analysis

How you voted: Mainz vs Dortmund

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Mainz
3 - 1
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