Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
0 - 2
Heidenheim

Hanche-Olsen (6'), Jenz (49'), Kohr (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pieringer (15'), Schoppner (86')
Traore (48'), Mainka (49'), Gimber (56'), Pieringer (77')
Dorsch (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Mainz
Friday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 0-3 Freiburg
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Heidenheim
51.21% ( 0.12)	23.93% ( 0.04)	24.86% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 55.09% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.67% (

-0.29)

46.33% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.38% (

-0.27)

68.62% (

0.27)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.89% (

-0.06)

18.11% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.95% (

-0.11)

49.05% (

0.11)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.27% (

-0.28)

32.72% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.72% (

-0.32)

69.28% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 51.21%

Heidenheim 24.86%

Draw 23.93%

Mainz 05	Draw	Heidenheim
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.49% Total : 51.21%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.93%	0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.86%

How you voted: Mainz vs Heidenheim

Mainz 05

40.5%

Draw

35.1%

Heidenheim

24.3%

Head to Head

May 5, 2024 6.30pm

Gameweek 32

Heidenheim

1-1

Mainz

Kleindienst (65')
Gimber (35'), Kleindienst (76')

Burkardt (37')
Barreiro (27'), Burkardt (69'), Kohr (84')

> Preview

Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm

Gameweek 15

Mainz

0-1

Heidenheim

Krauss (38'), Ajorque (44'), Gruda (90+3')

Pieringer (12')
Gimber (30'), Busch (34'), Beste (57')

> Preview

Form Guide

Augsburg 2-3 Mainz

Mainz 1-2 Werder Bremen

Stuttgart 3-3 Mainz

Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin

Wiesbaden 1-3 Mainz

Mainz 3-1 Montpellier

Heidenheim 0-3 Freiburg

Dortmund 4-2 Heidenheim

Heidenheim 4-0 Augsburg

Heidenheim 3-2 Hacken

St Pauli 0-2 Heidenheim

Hacken 1-2 Heidenheim

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table