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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Augsburg | 
| 37.44% ( | 24.34% ( | 38.23% ( | 
| Both teams to score 60.21% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.5% ( | 42.5% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.1% ( | 64.9% ( | 
| Heidenheim Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.4% ( | 22.6% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.79% ( | 56.21% ( | 
| Augsburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.8% ( | 22.2% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.39% ( | 55.61% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Heidenheim | Draw | Augsburg | 
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.23% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
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