

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.93%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.11%) and 0-1 (6.94%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 24.76% ( | 21.3% ( | 53.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.76% ( | 34.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.86% ( | 56.14% ( |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( | 26.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.6% ( | 61.4% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( | 12.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.73% ( | 39.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 1-0 @ 4.52% 2-0 @ 3.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.76% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-0 @ 3.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.93% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.3% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 1-3 @ 6.49% ( 0-3 @ 4.86% ( 2-3 @ 4.34% ( 1-4 @ 3.33% ( 0-4 @ 2.49% ( 2-4 @ 2.22% ( 1-5 @ 1.36% ( 0-5 @ 1.02% ( 3-4 @ 0.99% ( 2-5 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 53.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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