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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 75.56%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 9.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 1-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
75.56% (![]() | 15.33% (![]() | 9.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.24% (![]() | 36.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.08% (![]() | 58.92% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.84% (![]() | 8.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.39% (![]() | 28.61% (![]() |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.94% (![]() | 47.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.47% (![]() | 82.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-0 @ 12.05% (![]() 3-0 @ 10.07% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.62% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.09% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.59% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.54% Total : 75.55% | 1-1 @ 7.25% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.43% ( ![]() Other @ 0.81% Total : 15.33% | 0-1 @ 2.89% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 9.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |