MX23RW : Saturday, May 10 15:32:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
VfL Bochum

Mainz
2 - 0
VfL Bochum

Burkardt (45+3' pen., 71')
Kohr (1'), Ajorque (8'), van den Berg (84'), Amiri (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bernardo (33'), Osterhage (47'), Schlotterbeck (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 8-1 Mainz
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-2 Freiburg
Sunday, March 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-2 VfL Bochum

Recent form suggests Bochum will not be able to move towards the top half in the closing stages of the season, but maintaining the current healthy gap to the bottom three will do, and they should at least end their barren run here. Mainz may be resigned to a bottom three finish after last week's damaging defeat, but catching Koln in 16th could give them a reprieve in the playoff, and that will likely be the target now. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
59.53% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.52% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 17.95%
Both teams to score 49.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.23% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (0.00099999999999056 0)15.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)40.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.55%77.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 59.51%
    VfL Bochum 17.95%
    Draw 22.52%
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 9.83%
3-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-2 @ 1.23%
5-0 @ 1.13%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 59.51%
1-1 @ 10.71%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.84%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 2.61%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 17.95%

How you voted: Mainz vs VfL Bochum

Mainz 05
43.8%
Draw
40.6%
VfL Bochum
15.6%
32
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
VfL Bochum
2-2
Mainz
Stoger (21' pen.), Schlotterbeck (82')
Bernardo (51'), Paciencia (88'), Losilla (90+5')
Schlotterbeck (59' og.), Krauss (90+6')
Barreiro (15'), Kohr (20'), Jae-sung (71')
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
5-2
VfL Bochum
Jae-sung (1'), Widmer (17'), Onisiwo (28', 57', 87')
Kunde (70'), Masovic (72')
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
VfL Bochum
1-2
Mainz
Stoger (39')
Stafylidis (13'), Ganvoula (90+3')
Onisiwo (26', 77')
Stach (33'), Bell (64'), Burgzorg (84')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
VfL Bochum
3-1
Mainz
Pantovic (56' pen., 59'), Lowen (80')
Onisiwo (36')
Jae-sung (14'), Barreiro (55'), Bell (65'), Stach (75')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Mainz
1-0
VfL Bochum
St Juste (48')
Stach (55'), Stoger (85'), Nebel (86'), Svensson (88')

Bella-Kotchap (70'), Gamboa (76'), Rexhbecaj (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern32237293326176
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen321911268373168
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32168863432056
4Freiburg32157104649-352
5Borussia DortmundDortmund321561164491551
6Mainz 05Mainz331491053411251
7RB Leipzig32131185145650
8Werder Bremen32138115056-647
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32136135554145
10Stuttgart32128125751644
11Augsburg321110113445-1143
12Wolfsburg331010135554140
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin33910143350-1737
14Hoffenheim33711154664-1832
15St Pauli3287172637-1131
16Heidenheim3385203660-2429
17Holstein Kiel3267194875-2725
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3357213167-3622


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